The Liberal Democrats claim that the by-election in the “neck and neck” stronghold of the Conservative Party is against

The crucial by-election in the stronghold of conservatives Tiverton and Honiton is “neck and neck,” according to the Liberal Democrats, who aim to cause major political turmoil in the Devon seat.

As voters prepare to head to the polls on Thursday in two by-election sessions, Sir Ed Davey suggested his party “may be on the cusp of a historic victory” in the southwest constituency – toppling the 24,000 majority of the Conservative Party.

The second ballot will take place in Wakefield – a seat on the “red wall” Sir Keir Starmer is hoping to restore to Labor after falling to the Conservatives in the 2019 election for the first time since the constituency was created in 1932.

Conservative MPs said independent At the end of the week, a double defeat in Thursday’s by-election would be a “disaster” for embattled Boris Johnson, who narrowly escaped a no-confidence vote two weeks ago.

Writing independentpollster Professor Sir John Curtis notes that Labor “should have no great difficulty” winning the Wakefield by-election by achieving a swing of just under 4 per cent.

Many Tory MPs are especially expecting a “huge defeat” in the Yorkshire constituency after a poll by JL Partners earlier this month gave Labor candidate Simon Lightwood a 20-point lead over his Tory rival, Nadim Ahmed.

Sir John said a 20-point lead – representing a 14 per cent swing – is probably the kind of result the party needs to achieve if it is to signal that it may be able to pose a greater threat to the Conservatives than it did in the last three general elections.

At Tiverton and Honiton, however, the polling expert cautioned that the Liberal Democrats’ success was “by no means guaranteed”, and a collapse of Labor support in the constituency “could be critical to the outcome.”

He added: “The party is still stronger in the national election than it was in the last general election – so it depends entirely on the momentum it can generate domestically. Success will depend not only on its ability to garner the support of dissatisfied conservatives, but also on the tactical support of those who would have voted for the Labor Party otherwise.”

Keir Starmer addresses his fans in Wakefield earlier this week

(GT)

Former Conservative Cabinet Secretary Kenneth Baker stormed Mr Johnson at a pre-election event, saying he had “no vision or strategy” and was leading his party to defeat.

Lord Baker, the Conservative leader under Margaret Thatcher, said the UK was crying out for a ‘wizard’, like Harold Macmillan in the 1950s – but that is not the prime minister’s approach.

“Boris does not heal – he does confrontation, and he is very good at it. But this is not the feeling and mood in the country at the moment.

He said Mr Johnson was “essentially worried about the headlines the next day”, adding: “I can’t see how it gets any better if he survives for another two years.”

Vince Cable, a former minister from the Liberal Democratic Party, said at the event organized by the bookmaker $ . marketsThe prime minister may be tempted to hold a “risky” autumn general election.

“He’s a gambler, he’s gambled successfully in the past,” said Sir Vince, adding that there were rumors that preparations were underway.

Speaking before voters began heading to the polls, Sir Ed said voters in Tiverton and Honiton were “sick of Boris Johnson’s lies and neglect”, with families also facing high energy bills and rising food prices.

“This is a one-in-a-generation opportunity to end years of neglect and get a better deal for Devon, through the support of the Liberal Democrats and Richard Forward,” he insisted.

“We could be on the verge of a historic victory, but now it’s neck and neck between liberal and conservative Democrats and every vote counts.”

But speaking in the House of Commons on Wednesday about the prime minister’s questions, Johnson sounded upbeat about his party’s prospects.

He told MPs he had “no doubt whatsoever” that people in both constituencies “prefer to vote for a strong Conservative government rather than the Labor Party, the supporters and aides of the Liberal Democrats, the karma chameleon of British politics”.

Liberal Democratic Party leader Ed Davey on the campaign trail in Tiverton and Honiton

(PA)

By-elections in Tiverton and Honiton began earlier this year after the resignation of former Conservative MP Neil Parrish, who was in the middle of a political storm after he admitted watching pornography in the House of Commons.

A vote was also held in the Wakefield seat, where the Conservative Party has a majority of 3,358, after former Conservative MP Imran Ahmed Khan was jailed after being convicted in April of sexually assaulting a 15-year-old boy.

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